spy planes spotted construction sites for Soviet ballistic missiles in Cuba, leading Pentagon brass to unanimously urge President John F. The classic example is the Cuban missile crisis. Presidents have had a mixed record in staring down rivals and persuading them to peacefully retreat. “He will want to own or dominate or reabsorb Ukraine until he dies.”įor more than a century, U.S. Institute of Peace, told me this week, a few days after returning from Kyiv. “Even if Putin doesn’t invade this time, he will still want Ukraine,” William Taylor, the former U.S. But a decision by the Russian leader to pull back in the weeks or months ahead does not mean he will surrender his ultimate goal. Diplomacy could take months to resolve the Ukraine crisis, the French President, Emmanuel Macron, conceded this week after his five hours of talks with Putin in Moscow. Yet almost frantic diplomacy-as senior French and British officials travelled to Moscow this week and the Germans are due next week-has so far failed to get Putin to blink. On Friday, the national-security adviser, Jake Sullivan, warned that Vladimir Putin could invade even before the Winter Olympics end, on February 20th-and urged all Americans to leave Ukraine immediately. They’re at it again, this time in Ukraine, with stakes that could shape the balance of power, European unity, the Western alliance, and the success of Joe Biden’s Presidency.
and Russian leaders have engaged in brinkmanship over territory, influence, and weapons.
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